Fortaleza EC vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
FOR
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
CUI
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 0
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 2
TRE
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
FOR
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 3
CRB
23%
26%
50%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 0
BAR
74%
18%
9%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 3
AGU
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
BAR
76%
17%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 6
CUI
25%
27%
48%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |