Fort William vs Inverurie Loco Works analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
76.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fort William
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 8
BRO
7%
13%
81%
|
7 | 51 | 44 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 3
FOR
8%
13%
78%
|
8 | 42 | 34 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
FOR
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 47 | 39 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 4
FRA
7%
14%
79%
|
8 | 55 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
ROT
3 - 0
FOR
89%
8%
4%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Inverurie Loco Works
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
INV
3 - 1
FOR
47%
22%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 0
INV
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
INV
1 - 1
ROT
45%
23%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
INV
3 - 0
DEV
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
KEI
0 - 0
INV
17%
20%
64%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |