Fort William vs Formartine United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
0.8%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
4.8%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
9.8%
82.9%
Win probability
3.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
4.2%
3-5
1.3%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
7%
2-5
3.2%
3-6
0.8%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
5.3%
2-6
2%
3-7
0.4%
4-8
0.1%
-4
13.6%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
3.3%
2-7
1.1%
3-8
0.2%
4-9
0%
-5
9.1%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
1.8%
2-8
0.5%
3-9
0.1%
4-10
0%
-6
5.2%
0-7
1.5%
1-8
0.9%
2-9
0.2%
3-10
0%
-7
2.6%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.4%
2-10
0.1%
3-11
0%
-8
1.2%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
2-11
0%
-9
0.5%
0-10
0.1%
1-11
0%
-10
0.2%
0-11
0%
1-12
0%
-11
0.1%
0-12
0%
-12
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+171%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
79 | 79 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
73 | 73 |
4º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
73 | 73 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
51 | 51 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
48 | 48 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 46 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 14 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
5 | 5 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
ELO progression
FOR
FOR
FOR
NAI
THE
AIR
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fort William
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO FOR | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
NAI
1 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
26%
|
19 | 101 | 82 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
WIC
6 - 0
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
19 | 148 | 129 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 7
TUR
45%
27%
29%
|
19 | 114 | -95 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
CLA
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 19 | 63 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 7
BUC
39%
28%
33%
|
19 | 177 | -158 | 0 |
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO FOR | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HUN
1 - 2
FOR
41%
28%
31%
|
181 | 76 | -105 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 0
STR
47%
27%
26%
|
181 | 31 | 150 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 2
BRO
45%
27%
28%
|
180 | 208 | -28 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
COV
3 - 2
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
181 | 222 | 41 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 2
COV
46%
27%
27%
|
193 | 209 | -16 | -12 |