Fort William vs Benburb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
41.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
2.1%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fort William
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
ROT
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
DEV
17%
18%
65%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 2
STR
17%
17%
66%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
TUR
17%
18%
65%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 5
BRE
7%
16%
77%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | -1 |