Fort Wayne vs South Bend Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
57.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fort Wayne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
DAY
0 - 5
FWA
33%
22%
46%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
CFS
2 - 1
FWA
42%
22%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
TVF
1 - 3
FWA
27%
21%
52%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SBL
1 - 2
FWA
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FWA
1 - 2
KHA
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
South Bend Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SBL
2 - 0
DAY
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CFS
2 - 2
SBL
19%
19%
62%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SBL
2 - 1
KHA
43%
25%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
TVF
0 - 5
SBL
14%
17%
68%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SBL
1 - 2
FWA
76%
15%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |