Forres Mechanics vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FOR
4 - 0
ICT
9%
16%
75%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 1
BAN
12%
20%
68%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FOR
4 - 1
KEI
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
LOS
0 - 3
FOR
16%
19%
65%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 2
CLA
29%
22%
49%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
BUC
3 - 0
KEI
87%
10%
3%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
KEI
1 - 4
STR
72%
15%
13%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FOR
4 - 1
KEI
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
KEI
1 - 0
ROT
75%
15%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
DEV
3 - 2
KEI
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |