Forres Mechanics vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
61.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FRA
5 - 0
FOR
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
CLA
3 - 3
FOR
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
STR
3 - 1
FOR
9%
15%
76%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 1
HUN
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 2
BUC
6%
13%
80%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
KEI
0 - 5
ELG
15%
20%
66%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ELG
2 - 0
FRA
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
ELG
6 - 0
LOS
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CLA
0 - 5
ELG
12%
20%
68%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
STR
2 - 0
ELG
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |