Forres Mechanics vs Cumbernauld Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CUM
2 - 2
FOR
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ROT
0 - 5
FOR
13%
18%
69%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
NAI
4 - 4
FOR
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 3
COV
11%
16%
73%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 5
WIC
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Cumbernauld Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CUM
2 - 2
FOR
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CUM
0 - 2
EAS
28%
24%
49%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 0
LEI
36%
23%
41%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GAL
2 - 2
CUM
35%
24%
42%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LEI
0 - 0
CUM
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |