Formosa vs Samambaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
LUZ
2 - 1
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 5
TAG
17%
21%
62%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SED
4 - 3
FOR
29%
21%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
GAM
3 - 1
FOR
78%
16%
6%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 3
GAM
11%
19%
70%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Samambaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
CAP
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 2
SAM
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 56 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 2
SOB
13%
17%
70%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CEI
5 - 2
SAM
79%
15%
6%
|
13 | 50 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 2
SAN
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | +1 |