Formentera B vs At. Jesus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formentera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 4
IBI
14%
18%
68%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 1
FOR
33%
23%
45%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 1
IBI
11%
17%
71%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 2
IBI
13%
18%
69%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
INT
2 - 1
FOR
59%
20%
21%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
At. Jesus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
JES
2 - 6
RAF
50%
22%
29%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PUI
0 - 1
JES
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
IBI
5 - 3
JES
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
JES
1 - 3
POR
19%
20%
61%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PDE
3 - 3
JES
74%
15%
11%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |