Forli vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
5 - 1
DEL
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 0
FOR
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 2
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RAV
1 - 1
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 2
VIR
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AVI
2 - 0
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 1
CLO
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 3
VIL
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
MEZ
36%
26%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
COR
0 - 0
VIL
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |