Forli vs Marignanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ACP
1 - 3
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
FOR
41%
24%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 2
MEZ
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 4
FOR
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
LEN
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Marignanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
BAG
2 - 1
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 3
PRO
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ACP
1 - 0
MAR
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
ASD
51%
22%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 1
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |