Forli vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 3
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
PIN
49%
21%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAV
1 - 0
FOR
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
ISE
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
AXY
2 - 1
FOR
19%
20%
61%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -3 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 3
MAT
22%
22%
57%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
AVE
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
MON
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 0
MON
15%
17%
68%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -3 |