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Serie D. Group D, Matchday 23

Forli vs Fiorenzuola analysis

Forli Fiorenzuola
15 ELO 15
-26% Tilt 17%
7774º General ELO ranking 8099º
292º Country ELO ranking 297º
ELO win probability
31%
Forli
28.8%
Draw
40.2%
Fiorenzuola

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
Forli
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
40.2%
Win probability
Fiorenzuola
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Forli
-3%
+86%
Fiorenzuola

Points and table prediction

Forli
Their league position
Fiorenzuola
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
11º
75
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fiorenzuola
75
75
100%
Aglianese
73
73
100%
Lentigione
65
65
100%
Prato
54
54
100%
Rimini
52
52
50%
Forli
52
52
50%
Pro Livorno
48
48
100%
Correggese
47
47
100%
Real Forte Querceta
46
46
100%
Sammaurese
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Ghivizzano Borgo
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Bagnolese
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Mezzolara
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Seravezza
14º
36
36
14º
50%
Progresso
15º
36
36
15º
50%
Sasso Marconi
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Marignanese
17º
29
29
17º
100%
Corticella
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Forli
Fiorenzuola
Champion
0% 100%
Promotion playoffs
50% 0%
Mid-table
50% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fiorenzuola
FIO
Forli
FOR
Corticella
COR
Aglianese
ACA
Sammaurese
SAM
Rimini
RIM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Forli
Forli
1%
X%
2%
ELO FOR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2021
SAM
Sammaurese
3 - 1
Forli
FOR
47%
27%
26%
221 260 39 -2
07 Mar. 2021
FOR
Forli
0 - 0
Aglianese
ACA
39%
28%
33%
221 430 -209 0
28 Feb. 2021
COR
Corticella
1 - 3
Forli
FOR
46%
27%
26%
221 276 55 +2
24 Feb. 2021
FOR
Forli
0 - 1
Rimini
RIM
39%
28%
33%
223 394 -171 -1
21 Feb. 2021
SER
Seravezza
3 - 2
Forli
FOR
47%
27%
26%
224 312 88 -1

Matches

Fiorenzuola
Fiorenzuola
1%
X%
2%
ELO FIO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2021
FIO
Fiorenzuola
3 - 0
Seravezza
SER
45%
27%
29%
216 315 -99 +3
14 Mar. 2021
FIO
Fiorenzuola
4 - 2
Marignanese
MAR
41%
28%
30%
212 282 -70 0
07 Mar. 2021
BAG
Bagnolese
2 - 2
Fiorenzuola
FIO
65%
20%
15%
212 1112 900 +1
24 Feb. 2021
PRO
Pro Livorno
0 - 1
Fiorenzuola
FIO
47%
27%
26%
211 302 91 +2
20 Feb. 2021
FIO
Fiorenzuola
4 - 1
Prato
ACP
45%
27%
29%
208 312 -104 +3