Forli vs Correggese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
FOR
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
ACP
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 3
PRO
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 1
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Correggese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
COR
0 - 2
GHI
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
COR
3 - 1
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
COR
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 0
COR
15%
19%
65%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
COR
4 - 0
COR
88%
9%
4%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |