Forli vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 0
FOR
52%
24%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAN
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
DEL
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
DEL
3 - 2
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 0
SAS
45%
26%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
REG
0 - 1
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VIC
3 - 2
REG
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
REG
2 - 2
PAV
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ACL
0 - 1
REG
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
REG
2 - 0
COM
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |