York United vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 2
FOR
32%
29%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 2
YOR
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ATO
1 - 1
YOR
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 1
EDM
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
CAV
2 - 1
YOR
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 2
FOR
32%
29%
40%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 1
HFX
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
MON
43%
23%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HFX
0 - 0
FOR
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |