Forge vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
ATO
0 - 1
FOR
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
HFX
2 - 0
FOR
24%
29%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
YOR
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 0
ATO
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
HFX
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
HFX
3 - 3
YOR
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ATO
2 - 2
YOR
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
YOR
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 1
HFX
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
YOR
5 - 0
MFA
87%
10%
4%
|
64 | 19 | 45 | 0 |