Canadian Championship Semi-finals
Forge vs Vancouver Whitecaps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
YOR
1 - 2
FOR
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
FOR
5 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
HFX
1 - 2
FOR
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FOR
2 - 0
PAC
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
ATO
1 - 1
FOR
49%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
SJE
2 - 1
VAN
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
VAN
3 - 0
KCW
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
SDI
1 - 1
VAN
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 37 | 46 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
HOD
0 - 3
VAN
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
COR
3 - 0
VAN
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |