Forge vs Pacific analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
HFX
1 - 1
FOR
26%
29%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 0
EDM
75%
18%
8%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 2
CAV
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAV
0 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAV
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pacific
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
PAC
1 - 1
YOR
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
HFX
2 - 2
PAC
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
PAC
2 - 0
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
EDM
3 - 1
PAC
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
HFX
1 - 1
PAC
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |