Canadian Championship . Semi-finals

Forge vs CF Montréal analysis

Forge CF Montréal
72 ELO 75
-5.9% Tilt -3.1%
812º General ELO ranking 256º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
43.2%
Forge
23.3%
Draw
33.5%
CF Montréal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
Forge
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.5%
Win probability
CF Montréal
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Forge
+1%
-11%
CF Montréal

ELO progression

Forge
CF Montréal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Forge
Forge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2021
HFX
HFX Wanderers
0 - 0
Forge
FOR
30%
29%
41%
72 65 7 0
21 Oct. 2021
SAN
Santos de Guápiles
3 - 1
Forge
FOR
49%
22%
29%
73 70 3 -1
16 Oct. 2021
FOR
Forge
2 - 0
Atlético Ottawa
ATO
67%
21%
12%
73 60 13 0
11 Oct. 2021
VAL
Valour
3 - 1
Forge
FOR
22%
28%
50%
74 59 15 -1
07 Oct. 2021
HFX
HFX Wanderers
0 - 1
Forge
FOR
27%
29%
44%
74 64 10 0

Matches

CF Montréal
CF Montréal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2021
TOR
Toronto FC
1 - 1
CF Montréal
MON
41%
25%
35%
75 72 3 0
21 Oct. 2021
ORL
Orlando City
1 - 1
CF Montréal
MON
48%
24%
28%
75 76 1 0
16 Oct. 2021
MON
CF Montréal
2 - 2
Philadelphia Union
PHU
31%
26%
43%
75 81 6 0
03 Oct. 2021
MON
CF Montréal
2 - 1
Atlanta United
AFC
36%
26%
38%
74 78 4 +1
30 Sep. 2021
MON
CF Montréal
1 - 4
New England Revolution
NER
28%
25%
48%
75 81 6 -1
X