Forge vs Edmonton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 2
CAV
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAV
0 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAV
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAV
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
YOR
4 - 0
FOR
29%
29%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Edmonton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
3 - 1
EDM
77%
17%
6%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
EDM
3 - 1
PAC
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
VAL
3 - 1
EDM
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
EDM
0 - 1
FOR
20%
28%
51%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
HFX
1 - 1
EDM
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |