Forge vs Atlético Ottawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
MRO
83%
13%
5%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
YOR
1 - 0
FOR
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 0
EDM
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
CAV
46%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
PAC
2 - 1
FOR
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
ATO
1 - 1
YOR
31%
22%
47%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ATO
0 - 1
PAC
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
YOR
2 - 2
ATO
46%
26%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ATO
1 - 6
VAL
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ATO
1 - 0
HFX
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |