Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
25%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
10º
10º
40
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 0
FOR
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
ELG
35%
25%
41%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 3
EDI
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 1
FOR
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 1
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
EAS
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STR
1 - 5
BLA
20%
22%
59%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
STR
50%
23%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
ELG
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |