Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
9º
6º
36
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 1
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 0
FOR
29%
27%
45%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 2
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
CLY
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 3
STE
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
STR
0 - 1
AIR
9%
16%
75%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
STR
0 - 3
STE
26%
24%
49%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -3 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PET
3 - 2
STR
49%
24%
26%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
STR
3 - 1
ELG
55%
22%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CIV
0 - 3
STR
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |