Forfar Athletic vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
AIR
74%
15%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
EAS
2 - 1
FOR
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 2
GLA
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 0
STE
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 5
FOR
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ABE
4 - 0
STJ
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
STJ
34%
28%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
STJ
3 - 3
HOM
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
STJ
2 - 0
STM
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
ROS
1 - 0
STJ
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |