Forfar Athletic vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FAL
3 - 0
FOR
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 2
EAS
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
CLY
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
PET
1 - 0
FOR
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 2
LIV
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MON
1 - 3
EAS
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MON
0 - 2
PAR
24%
24%
53%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MON
1 - 2
DUM
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
RAI
3 - 0
MON
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FAL
2 - 1
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |