Second Division . Jor. 11

Forfar Athletic vs Livingston analysis

Forfar Athletic Livingston
54 ELO 58
17.9% Tilt 3%
4283º General ELO ranking 1520º
47º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
40.1%
Forfar Athletic
25.1%
Draw
34.8%
Livingston

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
Forfar Athletic
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.8%
Win probability
Livingston
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Forfar Athletic
-8%
-11%
Livingston

ELO progression

Forfar Athletic
Livingston
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Forfar Athletic
Forfar Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2010
EAS
East Fife
1 - 3
Forfar Athletic
FOR
43%
26%
31%
52 48 4 0
16 Oct. 2010
FOR
Forfar Athletic
4 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
49%
24%
27%
50 53 3 +2
02 Oct. 2010
ALL
Alloa Athletic
3 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
58%
22%
19%
51 54 3 -1
25 Sep. 2010
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 2
Airdrieonians
AIR
53%
23%
23%
52 52 0 -1
18 Sep. 2010
STE
Stenhousemuir
3 - 0
Forfar Athletic
FOR
39%
26%
35%
53 48 5 -1

Matches

Livingston
Livingston
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2010
LIV
Livingston
1 - 0
Peterhead
PET
62%
21%
17%
58 52 6 0
16 Oct. 2010
LIV
Livingston
4 - 1
Stenhousemuir
STE
64%
21%
15%
57 49 8 +1
02 Oct. 2010
AYR
Ayr United
3 - 1
Livingston
LIV
33%
26%
40%
58 51 7 -1
25 Sep. 2010
LIV
Livingston
1 - 1
East Fife
EAS
65%
21%
15%
58 48 10 0
18 Sep. 2010
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 3
Livingston
LIV
46%
25%
29%
58 56 2 0
X