Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
STE
0 - 1
FOR
47%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
BER
0 - 2
FOR
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
4 - 0
ALB
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
CWB
0 - 0
FOR
61%
21%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
MON
1 - 3
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BER
2 - 1
ELG
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ELG
2 - 0
STE
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +3 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
DUM
2 - 0
ELG
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BLA
6 - 0
ELG
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 1
ELG
74%
16%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |