Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
10º
5º
61
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BLA
0 - 2
FOR
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 1
ELG
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
STE
1 - 2
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
ALB
44%
24%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 0
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 1
DUM
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 0
EAS
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
DUM
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CLY
1 - 3
DUM
24%
22%
54%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 2
FOR
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |