Second Division . Jor. 28

Forfar Athletic vs Brechin City analysis

Forfar Athletic Brechin City
48 ELO 45
20.3% Tilt 13.4%
4247º General ELO ranking 3070º
47º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
59.9%
Forfar Athletic
20.1%
Draw
20%
Brechin City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
Forfar Athletic
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20%
Win probability
Brechin City
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Forfar Athletic
-15%
-10%
Brechin City

ELO progression

Forfar Athletic
Brechin City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Forfar Athletic
Forfar Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2014
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 3
Forfar Athletic
FOR
45%
23%
32%
47 43 4 0
01 Mar. 2014
STE
Stenhousemuir
4 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
44%
24%
32%
48 48 0 -1
22 Feb. 2014
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 3
Forfar Athletic
FOR
31%
24%
45%
48 39 9 0
15 Feb. 2014
FOR
Forfar Athletic
2 - 4
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
40%
24%
37%
49 54 5 -1
08 Feb. 2014
FOR
Forfar Athletic
0 - 4
St. Johnstone
STJ
19%
23%
57%
49 72 23 0

Matches

Brechin City
Brechin City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2014
BRE
Brechin City
2 - 4
Arbroath
ARB
71%
16%
12%
46 37 9 0
22 Feb. 2014
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 3
Stranraer
STR
44%
24%
32%
47 52 5 -1
15 Feb. 2014
AIR
Airdrieonians
2 - 1
Brechin City
BRE
33%
24%
44%
48 38 10 -1
08 Feb. 2014
BRE
Brechin City
3 - 0
East Fife
EAS
73%
16%
11%
48 38 10 0
01 Feb. 2014
GLA
Rangers FC
2 - 1
Brechin City
BRE
83%
13%
5%
48 75 27 0
X