Forfar Athletic vs Albion Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
10º
5º
36
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 0
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 2
FOR
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
BRA
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 4
BLA
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
STR
1 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Albion Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 1
STI
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
STR
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 3
ALB
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 1
STI
26%
26%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 2
STE
30%
25%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |