Forest Green Rovers vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAT
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
HAY
3 - 4
FOR
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 1
GAT
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 0
WRE
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 0
FLE
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 0
ALT
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CAM
0 - 0
SOU
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
KID
3 - 4
SOU
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SOU
0 - 1
AFC
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |