League Two Playoffs . Semi-finals
Global 4-5
Forest Green Rovers vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
OLD
0 - 3
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
TRA
29%
27%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
BAR
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 0
FOR
46%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
NEW
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHE
33%
30%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
4 - 0
SCU
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
EXE
0 - 0
NEW
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |