Forest Green Rovers vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
FOR
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
TAM
0 - 1
FOR
50%
24%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 3
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
GRI
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 2
BAR
52%
24%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 1
STO
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
NEW
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
5 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAM
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |