Forest Green Rovers vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
COL
0 - 3
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
3 - 0
FOR
25%
26%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 2
LIN
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
FOR
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
YEO
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
CUM
1 - 3
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CUM
2 - 1
SWI
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 0
CUM
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
CUM
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CUM
2 - 3
MKD
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |