Fontana vs Ferrocarril Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PTR
0 - 1
FON
35%
23%
43%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FON
1 - 0
CSC
72%
17%
12%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
FGB
0 - 3
FON
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FON
1 - 1
PTR
65%
19%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GYT
2 - 0
FON
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ferrocarril Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FGB
1 - 1
CSC
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FGB
0 - 2
PTR
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
FGB
0 - 3
FON
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CSC
1 - 0
FGB
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |