Fondi vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PRG
1 - 1
FON
77%
16%
7%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
FON
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FON
1 - 1
ACI
68%
19%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NEA
2 - 3
FON
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FON
2 - 0
EBO
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 0
ACI
60%
23%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 1
CAM
57%
24%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 0
RAA
45%
28%
27%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 1
FAN
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 0
MIL
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |