Fomat Martin vs Podkonice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
14º
13º
39
6º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
70.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
73.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 39 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
88% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
43.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fomat Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
3 - 1
FOM
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FOM
2 - 4
SLO
63%
21%
17%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NVN
0 - 3
FOM
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FOM
1 - 2
SER
8%
21%
71%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HBB
2 - 1
FOM
34%
25%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Podkonice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
POD
5 - 1
VRA
75%
15%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 2
POD
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
POD
0 - 0
BRA
23%
22%
55%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
4 - 0
POD
37%
22%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
POD
3 - 1
VEL
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |