Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda. Final
Global 1-3
Fola Esch vs Östersunds FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
OST
1 - 0
FOL
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
FOL
4 - 1
SHA
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
SHA
1 - 0
FOL
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 1
FOL
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
MIL
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Östersunds FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
OST
0 - 0
HAL
69%
20%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
OST
1 - 0
FOL
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
DJU
3 - 0
OST
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
GAL
1 - 1
OST
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
OST
2 - 1
DJU
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |