Fluminense vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLA
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 1
SFE
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FLU
3 - 1
POR
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 1
FLU
37%
27%
37%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
FLU
10%
19%
71%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 1
RIV
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 1
FLU
37%
27%
37%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SFE
0 - 0
JUN
40%
28%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 1
JUN
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JUN
3 - 1
SFE
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |