Carioca 1 . Final
Global 2-4
Fluminense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
56.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 1
SFE
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FLU
3 - 1
POR
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 1
FLU
37%
27%
37%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
FLU
10%
19%
71%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
SFE
1 - 2
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
ULC
2 - 2
FLA
8%
17%
76%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FLA
4 - 1
VOL
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
LIG
2 - 3
FLA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
VOL
0 - 3
FLA
6%
15%
80%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
FLA
4 - 1
ULC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |