Fluminense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 2
ATM
28%
27%
46%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 1
ATM
29%
26%
45%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
BSC
1 - 1
FLU
35%
26%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
SCI
4 - 2
FLU
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 2
BSC
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
BAH
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 2
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CUI
1 - 1
BAH
34%
27%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 1
ATM
20%
25%
55%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 1
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |