Fluminense vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 4
ATP
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
53%
26%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 0
FLU
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
FLU
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 0
JUV
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEA
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 1
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 1
ATM
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
SCI
1 - 1
CEA
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |