Fløya vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
8º
2º
74
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fløya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 4
FLO
34%
22%
45%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FLO
4 - 0
SJE
70%
16%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FYL
2 - 2
FLO
23%
21%
57%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
3 - 0
ILU
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 6
TRO
9%
16%
75%
|
36 | 77 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
HON
2 - 0
ELV
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 4
HON
9%
17%
74%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HON
9 - 1
FBG
88%
9%
3%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
KON
0 - 7
HON
14%
20%
67%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
HON
1 - 2
S08
10%
16%
74%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |