Série D Brazil Eliminatorias. Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Floresta EC vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Floresta EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 1
FLO
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
FLO
2 - 0
ARN
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
FLO
2 - 0
JCA
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
JCA
2 - 2
FLO
30%
25%
46%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 2
FLO
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 0
FAS
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
FAS
0 - 1
NOV
14%
22%
64%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 0
GOI
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
NOV
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
3 - 0
CAS
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |