Série D Brazil Eliminatorias. Final
Global 0-2
Floresta EC vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Floresta EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 2
FLO
61%
23%
17%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
FLO
1 - 1
NOV
28%
27%
46%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 1
FLO
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
FLO
2 - 0
ARN
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
FLO
2 - 0
JCA
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 1
MIR
25%
27%
49%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MIR
4 - 0
ALT
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
APA
2 - 3
MIR
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 1
APA
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
MIR
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |