Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
FLI
1 - 0
BAN
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
POR
2 - 2
FLI
17%
21%
61%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
FLI
3 - 0
BUC
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CON
2 - 2
FLI
18%
21%
61%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
FLI
1 - 2
COL
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
COL
2 - 1
RTW
59%
22%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
COL
1 - 2
PRE
14%
18%
69%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 3
COL
56%
22%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
LLA
71%
16%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
COL
4 - 4
CON
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |