Flint Town United vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
5º
40
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
38 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
29% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
71% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 3
FLI
22%
23%
56%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FLI
0 - 2
HAV
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 0
FLI
40%
25%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FLI
0 - 0
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FLI
2 - 1
AIR
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
PON
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CAE
4 - 0
AIR
80%
14%
7%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 2
CAE
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 1
ABE
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
CAE
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |