US Fleury-Merogis vs Olympique St Quentin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
2º
35
10º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 0
FLE
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 1
REI
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
4 - 3
ESW
78%
16%
6%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 2
COL
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
REI
2 - 3
FLE
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique St Quentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ESW
3 - 2
OLY
31%
27%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 1
HIE
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 0
COL
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 1
FUR
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
STG
1 - 2
OLY
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |